Progi wyborcze:
Komitet wyborczy – 5%
Koalicyjny komitet wyborczy – 8%
Mniejszości narodowe i etniczne – brak progu
Podział mandatów
<< WYBIERZ OKRĘG WYBORCZY
Symulacja poparcia i podziału mandatów w 41 okręgach została przeprowadzona w oparciu o dane sondażowe, dane wyborcze i przepływów elektoratów.
Symulacja poparcia i podziału mandatów w 41 okręgach została przeprowadzona w oparciu o dane sondażowe, dane wyborcze i przepływów elektoratów.
Sondaże (zestawienie)
| RazemRaz. | LewicaLew. | KO | PL2050 PL 2050 |
PSL | PiS | KonfederacjaKon. | KKP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBOS
N=1000 Termin: 03-05.11
|
3.3 | 3.5 | 28.8 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 20.7 | 13.2 | 8.5 |
| Opinia24
N=1000 Termin: 03-05.11
|
3.1 | 6.3 | 33.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 27.4 | 12.6 | 5.9 |
| Research Partner
N=1090 Termin: 31.10-03.11
|
2.9 | 7.1 | 29.0 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 27.6 | 11.6 | 6.4 |
| OGB
N=1000 Termin: 23-27.10
|
2.3 | 4.5 | 39.0 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 28.1 | 14.3 | 6.9 |
| United Surveys / WP.pl
N=1000 Termin: 24-26.10
|
3.4 | 6.9 | 30.8 | 1.5 | 4.8 | 26.7 | 11.9 | 6.4 |
| IBRiS / Rzeczpospolita
N=1067 Termin: 24-25.10
|
4.0 | 6.7 | 30.4 | 1.3 | 4.1 | 27.6 | 15.0 | 5.5 |
| OGB
N=1000 Termin: 15-22.10
|
2.0 | 4.1 | 38.1 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 29.8 | 15.5 | 6.0 |
| CBOS
N=1000 Termin: 15-17.10
|
4.2 | 4.8 | 28.4 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 23.6 | 10.9 | 9.4 |
| Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24
N=1001 Termin: 13-14.10
|
5.2 | 5.4 | 29.5 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 28.5 | 14.4 | 6.4 |
| OGB
N=1000 Termin: 08-13.10
|
4.3 | 4.2 | 34.0 | 2.4 | 3.7 | 27.9 | 16.4 | 7.1 |
| Pollster / Super Express
N=1002 Termin: 11-12.10
|
5.5 | 7.3 | 32.5 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 29.9 | 13.2 | 6.2 |
| United Surveys / WP
N=1000 Termin: 10-12.10
|
2.4 | 7.3 | 29.8 | 1.6 | 3.9 | 28.9 | 13.9 | 6.2 |
| IBRiS / Onet
N=1100 Termin: 08-09.10
|
2.9 | 7.1 | 30.5 | 1.6 | 4.6 | 27.3 | 14.1 | 6.1 |
| Opinia24
N=1000 Termin: 06-08.10
|
4.5 | 5.4 | 30.8 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 28.4 | 15.0 | 5.3 |
| Resarch Parnert
N=1070 Termin: 26-29.09
|
3.6 | 7.4 | 29.9 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 32.4 | 12.8 | 6.3 |
| Pollster / Super Express
N=1026 Termin: 27-28.09
|
4.5 | 6.7 | 31.1 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 32.9 | 11.8 | 6.7 |
| United Surveys / WP
N=1000 Termin: 26-28.09
|
2.2 | 7.0 | 30.0 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 28.5 | 14.7 | 4.1 |
| IBRiS / Rzeczpospolita
N=1073 Termin: 26-27.09
|
2.6 | 7.6 | 28.7 | 1.0 | 4.1 | 28.1 | 13.4 | 5.7 |
| United Surveys / WP
N=1000 Termin: 13-15.09
|
1.2 | 6.8 | 32.3 | 1.0 | 3.8 | 30.7 | 13.8 | 4.5 |
| Pollster / Super Express
N=1020 Termin: 10-11.09
|
4.2 | 6.7 | 31.9 | 5.3 | 1.4 | 33.5 | 12.5 | 4.2 |
| OGB
N=1000 Termin: 02-09.09
|
2.6 | 4.7 | 34.5 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 30.8 | 16.9 | 6.5 |
| CBOS
N=815 Termin: 01-03.09
|
6 | 5 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 4 |
| Opinia24
N= 544 Termin: 01-03.09
|
3.9 | 5.6 | 28.6 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 28.6 | 15.0 | 6.7 |
| Pollster / Super Express
N=1000 Termin: 30.08-01.09
|
5.5 | 7.3 | 32.6 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 31.6 | 12.6 | 5.1 |
| United Surveys / WP
N=1000 Termin: 28.08-01.09
|
3.2 | 7.4 | 27.1 | 3.4 | 3.9 | 29.0 | 13.2 | 3.1 |
| IBRiS / Rzeczpospolita
N=1069 Termin: 29-30.08
|
3.7 | 8.0 | 29.9 | 2.1 | 3.6 | 30.6 | 15.1 | 2.8 |
| IBRiS / Onet
N=1100 Termin: 29-30.08
|
4.2 | 8.1 | 28.5 | 2.3 | 4.1 | 28.3 | 14.4 | 3.4 |
| Research Partner
N=1040 Termin: 22-25.08
|
2.9 | 6.3 | 27.0 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 31.4 | 11.3 | 3.5 |
| CBOS
N=800 Termin: 18-21.08
|
5 | 7 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 12 | 3 |
| United Surveys / WP
N=1000 Termin: 13-16.08
|
3.1 | 5.5 | 28.1 | 2.6 | 3.6 | 27.4 | 17.3 | 3.1 |
| OGB
N=1000 Termin: 06-13.08
|
3.3 | 5.0 | 33.4 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 30.6 | 15.4 | 5.3 |
| Pollster / Super Express
N=1006 Termin: 08-09.08
|
4.7 | 7.0 | 32.0 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 30.9 | 12.8 | 4.9 |
| Opinia24
N=1003 Termin: 04-06.08
|
4.1 | 5.9 | 28.2 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 29.0 | 14.2 | 6.0 |
| Pollster / Super Express
N=1047 Termin: 25-28.07
|
4.4 | 6.2 | 32.1 | 4.9 | 3.2 | 31.9 | 12.0 | 4.8 |
| United Surveys / WP
N=1000 Termin: 25-27.07
|
3.6 | 6.7 | 25.8 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 28.3 | 17.4 | 5.4 |
| IBRiS / Rzeczpospolita
N=1067 Termin: 25-26.07
|
3.1 | 7.1 | 30.1 | 2.8 | 3.6 | 28.7 | 14.6 | 4.6 |
| IPSOS / TVP Info i 19:30
N=1000 Termin: 24-25.07
|
6 | 6 | 24 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 14 | 5 |
| Research Partner
N=1080 Termin: 18-21.07
|
2.5 | 5.8 | 28.9 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 30.7 | 12.4 | 3.8 |
| United Surveys / WP
N=1000 Termin: 11-13.07
|
3.0 | 6.8 | 28.2 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 29.2 | 12.5 | 4.2 |
| OGB
N=1000 Termin: 04-11.07
|
4.4 | 6.6 | 31.7 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 26.9 | 16.7 | 7.3 |
| Pollster / Super Express
N=1085 Termin: 08-09.07
|
5.0 | 7.3 | 31.2 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 33.6 | 12.8 | 4.8 |
| CBOS
N=832 Termin: 07-09.07
|
6 | 6 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 12 | 8 |
| Opinia24
N=1003 Termin: 07-09.07
|
3.9 | 5.0 | 29.3 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 29.2 | 14.9 | 5.6 |
| United Surveys / WP
N=1000 Termin: 27-29.06
|
5.0 | 6.6 | 25.6 | 4.4 | 4.1 | 28.3 | 15.0 | 3.9 |
| IBRiS / Rzeczpospolita
N=1067 Termin: 26-27.06
|
4.8 | 5.6 | 26.5 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 28.9 | 16.8 | 4.0 |
| IBRiS / Onet
N=1100 Termin: 23-24.06
|
3.9 | 6.1 | 25.8 | 4.6 | 4.0 | 30.5 | 16.8 | 5.1 |
| IBRiS / Polsat News
N=1000 Termin: 12-14.06
|
3.1 | 5.6 | 28.8 | 6.9 | 27.9 | 14.7 | 6.0 | |
| Opinia24
N=1003 Termin: 09-12.06
|
4.6 | 6.1 | 28.8 | 5.1 | 28.8 | 13.8 | 6.9 | |
| CBOS
N=840 Termin: 09-10.06
|
6 | 8 | 30 | 4 | 25 | 14 | 1 | |
| United Surveys / WP
N=1000 Termin: 06-08.06
|
5.2 | 6.0 | 33.0 | 5.5 | 32.0 | 16.0 | — | |
| IBRiS / Onet
N=1069 Termin: 06-07.06
|
3.1 | 6.3 | 32.3 | 5.1 | 28.3 | 20.7 | — | |
| Pollster / NCzas
N=1029 Termin: 05-06.06
|
5.5 | 5.1 | 30.5 | 6.7 | 33.3 | 13.5 | 6.9 | |
| Pollster / Super Express
N=1077 Pub.: 29.05
|
4.4 | 6.0 | 32.0 | 6.7 | 33.6 | 16.4 | — | |
| Research Partner
N=1060 Termin: 27-28.05
|
4.0 | 6.3 | 29.2 | 4.2 | 29.6 | 9.5 | 5.2 | |
| IBRiS / Onet
N=1070 Termin: 26-27.05
|
2.5 | 5.0 | 33.4 | 6.0 | 32.2 | 17.1 | — | |
| Opinia24 / RMF FM
N=1000 Termin: 25-27.05
|
5.5 | 5.9 | 31.1 | 4.1 | 27.2 | 16.0 | — | |
| Opinia24 / RMF FM
N=1070 Termin: 12-14.05
|
4.9 | 6.3 | 29.2 | 10.7 | 27.3 | 15.2 | — | |
| IBRiS / Onet
N=1072 Termin: 12-13.05
|
3.6 | 7.5 | 31.8 | 8.0 | 31.2 | 11.2 | — | |
| CBOS
N=897 Termin: 12-13.05
|
6 | 6 | 29 | 5 | 28 | 16 | — | |
| Pollster / Super Express
N=1077 Termin: 07-08.05
|
5.4 | 5.9 | 31.1 | 9.5 | 32.3 | 15.1 | — | |
| United Surveys / WP
N=1000 Termin: 07.05
|
3.9 | 7.6 | 31.2 | 7.4 | 27.5 | 13.1 | — | |
| Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24
N=1012 Termin: 06-07.05
|
4 | 8 | 33 | 7 | 28 | 15 | — | |
| Opinia24 / "Newsweek"
N=1001 Termin: 05-07.05
|
5 | 9 | 33 | 5 | 29 | 15 | — | |
| Pollster / Super Express
N=1007 Termin: 28-29.04
|
4.9 | 5.9 | 31.3 | 9.6 | 31.1 | 16.7 | — | |
| United Surveys / WP
N=1000 Termin: 28-29.04
|
3.9 | 6.8 | 30.4 | 8.8 | 27.3 | 14.4 | — | |
| OGB
N=1000 Termin: 23-25.04
|
2.9 | 5.4 | 33.3 | 8.0 | 33.8 | 16.6 | — | |
| Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24
N=? Pub.: 24.04
|
5 | 6 | 30 | 8 | 26 | 18 | — | |
| CBOS
N=895 Termin: 22-24.04
|
4 | 5 | 32 | 6 | 32 | 15 | — | |
| United Surveys / WP
N=1000 Termin: 17-19.04
|
3.5 | 7.9 | 28.6 | 8.1 | 29.6 | 13.9 | — | |
| Pollster / Super Express
N=1003 Termin: 15-16.04
|
3.2 | 5.9 | 32.9 | 9.1 | 31.4 | 15.4 | — | |
| IPSOS / TVP Info i 19:30
N=642 Termin: 14-16.04
|
4 | 5 | 28 | 8 | 26 | 17 | — | |
| Opinia24
N=1002 Termin: 14-16.04
|
3.8 | 6.9 | 34.0 | 8.2 | 27.3 | 13.8 | — | |
| OGB
N=1001 Termin: 09-14.04
|
2.4 | 2.9 | 34.0 | 6.7 | 31.5 | 21.7 | — | |
| Opinia24 / RMF FM
N=1000 Termin: 07-09.04
|
3.2 | 5.6 | 33.3 | 7.5 | 28.3 | 16.4 | — | |
| CBOS
N=888 Termin: 07-09.04
|
4 | 6 | 33 | 5 | 26 | 16 | — | |
| United Surveys / WP
N=1000 Termin: 04-06.04
|
0.5 | 5.0 | 34.9 | 6.9 | 28.8 | 16.4 | — | |
| Opinia24 / Radio ZET
N=1000 Termin: 02-06.04
|
4 | 7 | 30 | 8 | 28 | 17 | — | |
| Pollster / Republika
N=1003 Termin: 03-04.04
|
— | 5 | 33 | 9 | 31 | 17 | — | |
| Pollster / Super Express
N=1007 Termin: 31.03-01.04
|
3.5 | 5.0 | 32.4 | 8.1 | 31.8 | 18.1 | — | |
| Research Partner
N=1060 Termin: 21-24.03
|
— | 7.4 | 31.3 | 6.9 | 29.1 | 14.3 | — | |
| United Surveys / WP
N=1000 Termin: 21-23.03
|
0.8 | 4.7 | 31.0 | 6.7 | 26.5 | 16.4 | — | |
| Opinia24
N=1000 Termin: 17-21.03
|
2.4 | 4.6 | 34.8 | 7.1 | 27.0 | 18.5 | — | |
| IPSOS / TVP Info i 19:30
N=639 Termin: 11-13.03
|
3 | 6 | 31 | 8 | 28 | 16 | — | |
| Opinia24 / RMF FM
N=1000 Termin: 10-13.03
|
2.4 | 4.8 | 34.0 | 6.7 | 26.3 | 21.4 | — | |
| Pollster / Super Express
N=1077 Termin: 07-09.03
|
1.7 | 5.7 | 33.0 | 9.3 | 31.8 | 17.2 | — | |
| United Surveys / WP
N=1000 Termin: 07-09.03
|
1.1 | 4.9 | 31.1 | 5.8 | 28.6 | 17.2 | — | |
| IBRiS / Rzeczpospolita
N=1067 Termin: 07-08.03
|
1.9 | 4.5 | 31.1 | 5.8 | 27.5 | 17.1 | — | |
| CBOS
N=855 Termin: 03-06.03
|
2 | 4 | 34 | 4 | 26 | 18 | — | |
| OGB
N=1000 Termin: 19-26.02
|
1.2 | 5.3 | 36.5 | 5.2 | 32.7 | 19.0 | — | |
| United Surveys / WP
N=1000 Termin: 21-24.02
|
1.1 | 7.6 | 32.3 | 8.0 | 28.1 | 16.1 | — | |
| Research Partner
N=1060 Termin: 21-24.02
|
— | 8.3 | 29.1 | 8.8 | 29.4 | 14.2 | — | |
| Opinia24
N=1002 Termin: 17-21.02
|
3.1 | 5.3 | 31.3 | 8.9 | 30.4 | 16.6 | — | |
| CBOS
N=856 Termin: 17-20.02
|
2 | 6 | 34 | 4 | 29 | 17 | — | |
| IPSOS / TVP Info i 19:30
N=1000 Termin: 17-18.02
|
2 | 6 | 29 | 10 | 30 | 16 | — | |
| Opinia24 / Radio ZET
N=1002 Termin: 10-13.02
|
2.9 | 5.5 | 31.8 | 8.0 | 27.9 | 18.7 | — | |
| Pollster / Super Express
N=1077 Termin: 08-10.02
|
1.7 | 6.9 | 31.4 | 8.9 | 33.2 | 15.7 | — | |
| United Surveys / WP
N=1000 Termin: 07-09.02
|
1.0 | 7.1 | 32.1 | 8.3 | 30.0 | 12.8 | — | |
| IBRiS / Rzeczpospolita
N=1067 Termin: 07-08.02
|
1.5 | 8.3 | 33.5 | 10.1 | 29.3 | 11.6 | — | |
| CBOS
N=800 Termin: 03-05.02
|
2 | 6 | 30 | 6 | 30 | 13 | — | |
| IBRiS / Onet
N=1068 Termin: 31.01-02.02
|
0.9 | 7.7 | 29.3 | 9.6 | 27.4 | 10.9 | — | |
| Opinia24 / Radio ZET
N=1001 Termin: 23-29.01
|
1 | 6 | 32 | 7 | 29 | 16 | — | |
| Research Partner
N=1060 Termin: 24-27.01
|
— | 7.1 | 29.3 | 8.9 | 31.0 | 13.3 | — | |
| United Surveys / WP
N=1000 Termin: 24-26.01
|
0.5 | 8.2 | 32.0 | 8.4 | 30.3 | 12.8 | — | |
| Opinia24
N=1001 Termin: 20-24.01
|
2.2 | 7.0 | 31.3 | 9.7 | 31.1 | 14.0 | — | |
| OGB
N=1000 Termin: 21-23.01
|
0.4 | 5.8 | 33.1 | 7.3 | 34.5 | 18.0 | — | |
| Pollster / Super Express
N=1004 Termin: 17-18.01
|
1.6 | 6.1 | 31.6 | 8.7 | 33.6 | 14.2 | — | |
| IPSOS / TVP Info i 19:30
N=1000 Termin: 14-16.01
|
3 | 7 | 29 | 10 | 29 | 12 | — | |
| United Surveys / WP
N=1000 Termin: 10-12.01
|
2.2 | 7.2 | 29.2 | 9.0 | 32.4 | 13.5 | — | |
| IBRiS / "Rzeczpospolita"
N=1068 Termin: 10-11.01
|
1.3 | 6.3 | 30.5 | 9.0 | 33.2 | 12.4 | — | |
| Opinia24 / RMF FM
N=1000 Termin: 07-09.01
|
2.0 | 5.6 | 31.9 | 8.6 | 30.7 | 13.5 | — | |
| CBOS
N=809 Termin: 07-08.01
|
2 | 6 | 33 | 7 | 33 | 13 | — | |
Sposób obliczania średniej w sondażach